Sign in Register
🔢

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 10 March 2023

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

38 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 10 March 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Heracles vs Jong AZ at 87% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC
2 : 3 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Abha
2 : 2 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 33%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
2 : 2 FT
Ajman
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
1 : 1 FT
Al-Dhafra
Win 51%
Draw 20%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Premier League · Russia
FC Sochi
0 : 4 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
2 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 17%
Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
0 : 3 FT
Al Ain
Win 36%
Draw 21%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–1 · 8%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
4 : 0 FT
Miedz Legnica
✓ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Giresunspor
2 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
2 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
✓ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2 : 2 FT
SV Sandhausen
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taawon
0 : 4 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
0 : 4 FT
De Graafschap
Win 33%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
5 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 49%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
3 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
✓ Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
2 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
✓ Win 79%
Draw 11%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 87% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 3–1 · 7%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
NAC Breda
4 : 1 FT
MVV
✓ Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 35%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 35%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
1 : 2 FT
Telstar
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
4 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Willem II
2 : 3 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Beerschot VA
0 : 1 FT
SK Beveren
Win 30%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 46%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Dender
1 : 0 FT
Deinze
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 2 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 79%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 68%
Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
4 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
✓ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 1–0 · 17%
Serie B · Italy
Cagliari
4 : 1 FT
Ascoli
✓ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
League Two · England
Crewe
4 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 19%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Serie A · Italy
Spezia
2 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi
0 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
0 : 0 FT
Dundalk
Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
0 : 2 FT
Bohemians
Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
0 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Championship · England
Stoke City
3 : 2 FT
Blackburn
✓ Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Ligue 1 · France
Lille
3 : 3 FT
Lyon
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
La Liga · Spain
Cadiz
2 : 2 FT
Getafe
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
3 : 2 FT
Estoril
✓ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
BTTS No 62% FC Porto Clean Sheet 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 15%
Primera División · Chile
Deportes Copiapo
0 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%

Showing 38 of 38 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 10 March 2023?

38 fixtures met the criteria, led by Heracles vs Jong AZ at 87% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.