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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Wednesday 9 November 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

The model shortlists 34 fixtures on Wednesday 9 November 2022. FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 sits top on 75% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 29%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
0 : 1 FT
Internacional
Win 41%
Draw 29%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
4 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
1 : 0 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 3 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 33%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
0 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Premier League Β· Ukraine
Veres Rivne
0 : 2 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 19%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 10%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panetolikos
0 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 12%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 61%
Over 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Atromitos
2 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
Win 34%
Draw 38%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
4 : 0 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
1 : 2 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
3 : 4 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SSV Jahn Regensburg
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
2 : 1 FT
Atalanta
Win 14%
Draw 28%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
1 : 1 FT
AS Roma
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Almeria
1 : 0 FT
Getafe
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 27%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 13%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
OFI
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 32%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
0 : 1 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 20%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha
4 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 2 FT
Vitesse
Win 69%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
0 : 1 FT
Villarreal
Win 33%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
3 : 1 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 2 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 11%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 : 2 FT
1899 Hoffenheim
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 0 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 22%
Draw 19%
Win 59%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 70%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 9%
Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
0 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 26%
Draw 26%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
2 : 1 FT
Salernitana
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Inter
6 : 1 FT
Bologna
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
2 : 0 FT
Sampdoria
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Serie A Β· Brazil
Fortaleza EC
6 : 0 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%

Showing 34 of 34 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 9 November 2022?

34 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 at 75% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.