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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Tuesday 8 November 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

38 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 8 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Bayern München vs Werder Bremen at 72% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 72% down to 24%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Super League · China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
1 : 5 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 25%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 49%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
Wuhan Zall
2 : 1 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 49%
Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 0 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
✓ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Premier League · Ukraine
Metal Kharkiv
0 : 0 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 45%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
Premier League · Ukraine
Inhulets
1 : 0 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 22%
Draw 24%
Win 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
Meizhou Kejia
3 : 2 FT
Henan Jianye
✓ Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League · China
Beijing Guoan
0 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 33%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Super League · China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
0 : 2 FT
Dalian Aerbin
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
2 : 0 FT
Borussia Dortmund
✓ Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
0 : 0 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
0 : 2 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 66%
Model Score 2–0 · 12%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hannover 96
2 : 0 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
✓ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 57%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern
2 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli
2 : 0 FT
Empoli
✓ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 59%
✓ Model Score 2–0 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Spezia
1 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Elche
1 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 41%
Under 2.5 59%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
5 : 0 FT
Lamia
✓ Win 42%
Draw 40%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Aris Thessalonikis Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 20%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
3 : 0 FT
Valladolid
✓ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München
6 : 1 FT
Werder Bremen
✓ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 2–1 · 9%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
2 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
✓ Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
✓ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Coventry
2 : 0 FT
Wigan
✓ Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
Birmingham
2 : 2 FT
Swansea
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Championship · England
Blackpool
0 : 3 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Championship · England
Cardiff
2 : 3 FT
Hull City
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Championship · England
QPR
1 : 2 FT
Huddersfield
Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
0 : 1 FT
Rotherham
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
Championship · England
Stoke City
2 : 0 FT
Luton
Win 27%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 15%
League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
2 : 0 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town
3 : 3 FT
Carlisle
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
League Two · England
Mansfield Town
1 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 33%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 12%
League Two · England
Rochdale
1 : 0 FT
Salford City
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie A · Italy
Cremonese
0 : 0 FT
AC Milan
Win 13%
Draw 25%
Win 62%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Championship · England
Watford
2 : 0 FT
Reading
✓ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
1 : 2 FT
Barcelona
Win 25%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 48%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 0–1 · 13%
Serie A · Brazil
Fluminense
3 : 0 FT
Goias
✓ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 2–1 · 10%
Serie A · Brazil
Avai
2 : 0 FT
Ceara
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 0–1 · 16%
Serie A · Brazil
Coritiba
2 : 2 FT
Corinthians
Win 39%
Draw 32%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 · 16%

Showing 38 of 38 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 8 November 2022?

38 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Werder Bremen at 72% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.