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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Wednesday 31 August 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

41 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 31 August 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain at 83% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 26%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Ligue 1 supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC
1 : 0 FT
BG Pathum United
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
2 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
1 : 2 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
1 : 2 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
Win 31%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen
3 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Sigma Olomouc
1 : 1 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 43%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
0 : 5 FT
Al-Fateh
Win 36%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
Pogon Szczecin
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
1 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Sampdoria
1 : 1 FT
Lazio
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 61%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Udinese
1 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
7 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
2 : 4 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 49%
Draw 24%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
2 : 4 FT
Reims
Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
2 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lyon
2 : 1 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
1 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
1 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
2 : 1 FT
Viking
Win 31%
Draw 21%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
Model Score 1–2 Β· 8%
Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
6 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 3–0 Β· 8%
Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
0 : 0 FT
Wolves
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Aston Villa
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
✓ Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
Premier League Β· England
Manchester City
6 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
4 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Premier League Β· England
West Ham
1 : 1 FT
Tottenham
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 54%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Bristol City
2 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Coventry
0 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 35%
Draw 33%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
Championship Β· England
Sunderland
3 : 0 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 15%
Championship Β· England
Stoke City
1 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
2 : 0 FT
Spezia
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 28%
Win 13%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli
1 : 1 FT
Lecce
Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
BTTS No 54%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 13%
Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
2 : 1 FT
Newcastle
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Championship Β· England
Blackpool
0 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
1 : 2 FT
Nice
Win 37%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
1 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 9%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
5 : 2 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
3 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 10%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
0 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 8%
Draw 13%
βœ“ Win 79%
✓ Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–3 Β· 8%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
4 : 0 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%

Showing 41 of 41 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Wednesday 31 August 2022?

41 fixtures met the criteria, led by Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain at 83% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.