Sign in Register
🔢

Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model — Friday 18 March 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

35 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 18 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Telstar vs Dordrecht at 73% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 14%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
2 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
Win 38%
Draw 23%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
3 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
✓ Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 67% ✓ Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
✓ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 4 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Rizespor
3 : 2 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 17%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
Model Score 0–1 · 12%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
3 : 0 FT
Kayserispor
✓ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 58%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
– : – CANC
Ruh Lviv
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 25%
✓ Draw 41%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 69%
Model Score 0–0 · 22%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
1 : 0 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
✓ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Erzgebirge AUE
0 : 3 FT
Karlsruher SC
Win 24%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Sassuolo
4 : 1 FT
Spezia
✓ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen
2 : 0 FT
Heracles
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
Model Score 0–0 · 14%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 46%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Ajax
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
2 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
✓ Win 45%
Draw 27%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 3 FT
MVV
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Helmond Sport
4 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
Win 15%
Draw 20%
Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 0–2 · 10%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 9%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
Win 33%
Draw 21%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 72%
Model Score 1–2 · 8%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 25%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 0–1 · 14%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
3 : 3 FT
Roda
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Royal Excel Mouscron
1 : 2 FT
Deinze
Win 36%
Draw 29%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Bochum
0 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 10%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 1 FT
Wisla Krakow
✓ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 2–0 · 10%
League Two · England
Newport County
2 : 3 FT
Hartlepool
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 1 FT
Oostende
Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 66% Union St. Gilloise Clean Sheet 53%
Model Score 1–0 · 19%
Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
2 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 35%
Draw 38%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–0 · 15%
Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 0 FT
Dundalk
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
0 : 3 FT
Finn Harps
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 63%
Model Score 1–1 · 13%
Premier League · England
Wolves
2 : 3 FT
Leeds
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 12%
Ligue 1 · France
Saint Etienne
1 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 11%
Serie A · Italy
Genoa
1 : 0 FT
Torino
Win 23%
Draw 45%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 86% ✓ BTTS No 75% Torino Clean Sheet 57%
Model Score 0–0 · 27%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club
1 : 1 FT
Getafe
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Model Score 1–0 · 13%
Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 1–0 · 14%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Vizela
1 : 1 FT
Famalicao
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 · 13%

Showing 35 of 35 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score — common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Friday 18 March 2022?

35 fixtures met the criteria, led by Telstar vs Dordrecht at 73% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.