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Correct Score Predictions

Most likely scoreline for every fixture, from our prediction model β€” Tuesday 15 March 2022

The Model Score is the same most-likely scoreline already shown on each fixture's own Predictions tab, from our prediction model. Once a fixture finishes, it's highlighted green if the model score matched the actual result shown above it exactly.

43 matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 15 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Wycombe vs Fleetwood Town at 67% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 23%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

League One supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
3 : 2 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
2 : 2 FT
Benevento
Win 29%
βœ“ Draw 38%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
Serie B Β· Italy
Crotone
2 : 0 FT
Frosinone
Win 29%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
BTTS Yes 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Vicenza Virtus
0 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 31%
Draw 37%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 63%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cittadella
0 : 0 FT
Reggina
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 15%
Serie B Β· Italy
Como
1 : 1 FT
Ternana
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
Serie B Β· Italy
Cosenza
2 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 20%
Draw 38%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
4 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Bastia
1 : 0 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Bastia Clean Sheet 57%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 21%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Dijon
2 : 0 FT
Le Havre
Win 34%
Draw 30%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
3 : 0 FT
Paris FC
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Nimes
1 : 2 FT
Auxerre
Win 30%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
1 : 1 FT
Sochaux
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
0 : 1 FT
Grenoble
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 64%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 18%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
0 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
Win 25%
Draw 34%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 69%
✓ Model Score 0–0 Β· 19%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
1 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 35%
Draw 34%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 18%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Toulouse
6 : 0 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 12%
Ligue 2 Β· France
Valenciennes
1 : 1 FT
Caen
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
✓ Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Serie B Β· Italy
Alessandria
0 : 3 FT
Monza
Win 24%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 43%
Under 2.5 56%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
Reading
Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 11%
Championship Β· England
Barnsley
2 : 0 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Birmingham
0 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
Championship Β· England
Blackburn
3 : 1 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 68% Blackburn Clean Sheet 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 20%
League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS No 61% Sheffield Wednesday Clean Sheet 58%
Model Score 2–0 Β· 14%
League One Β· England
Crewe
0 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 12%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 67%
Over 2.5 55%
✓ Model Score 0–2 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Charlton
1 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 13%
League One Β· England
Plymouth
1 : 0 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League One Β· England
Rotherham
2 : 1 FT
Lincoln
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League One Β· England
Shrewsbury
5 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 16%
League One Β· England
Wycombe
1 : 0 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
✓ Model Score 1–0 Β· 13%
League Two Β· England
Carlisle
1 : 2 FT
Newport County
Win 26%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 15%
League Two Β· England
Exeter City
2 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 12%
League Two Β· England
Forest Green
1 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 46%
Draw 34%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
0 : 2 FT
Bradford
Win 35%
Draw 37%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–0 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Port Vale
3 : 1 FT
Mansfield Town
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Rochdale
1 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 25%
Draw 37%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 17%
League Two Β· England
Scunthorpe
0 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 24%
Draw 37%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 64%
✓ Model Score 0–1 Β· 18%
League Two Β· England
Stevenage
1 : 2 FT
Northampton
Win 29%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 14%
League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
2 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
Model Score 1–1 Β· 11%
League Two Β· England
Tranmere
2 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 60%
Model Score 2–1 Β· 10%
League Two Β· England
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Oldham
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
Model Score 1–0 Β· 14%
Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Fulham
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 62%
Model Score 0–1 Β· 12%

Showing 43 of 43 fixtures for the day, in kick-off order. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Correct Score β€” common questions

What does the Correct Score market mean?

Correct Score settles on whether a match finishes on one exact scoreline. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate correct score probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The most likely scoreline shown here is the single highest-probability cell in the model's full score matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Correct Score on Tuesday 15 March 2022?

43 fixtures met the criteria, led by Wycombe vs Fleetwood Town at 67% most likely scoreline.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the model's single most likely scoreline for each fixture, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these correct score predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.