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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 28 February 2026

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 28 February 2026. Coventry vs Stoke City sits top on 50% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 42%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Coventry
2 : 1 FT
Stoke City
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 32%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#2 League Two Β· England
Oldham
2 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
BTTS No 54%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Como
3 : 1 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 63%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Oviedo
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 26%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
0 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 League One Β· England
Stevenage
2 : 1 FT
Stockport County
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
0 : 1 FT
Concepción
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 59%
#9 League Two Β· England
Swindon Town
1 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
5 : 1 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#11 League Two Β· England
Barrow
0 : 1 FT
Gillingham
Win 25%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia
Dinamo Makhachkala
2 : 1 FT
Rubin
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#13 Championship Β· England
Ipswich
3 : 0 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
0 : 0 FT
Eyüpspor
Win 52%
Draw 32%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
0 : 1 FT
FC St. Pauli
Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 53%
#16 League Two Β· England
Notts County
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia
Lokomotiv
2 : 1 FT
Nizhny Novgorod
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#18 Serie B Β· Italy
Modena
1 : 2 FT
Padova
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#19 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
4 : 1 FT
Villarreal
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#20 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
1 : 1 FT
Teplice
Win 29%
Draw 35%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 28 February 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Coventry vs Stoke City at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.