Sign in Register
🧤

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 24 September 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Wednesday 24 September 2025. Gremio vs Botafogo led the list at 55% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 17%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Brazil
Gremio
1 : 1 FT
Botafogo
Win 19%
Draw 32%
Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 70% Botafogo Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Liège
1 : 2 FT
SK Beveren
Win 14%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 61%
BTTS No 55%
#3 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Jazira
0 : 1 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 27%
Draw 31%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 2 FT
Rayo Vallecano
✓ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 53%
#5 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge II
0 : 2 FT
Lommel United
Win 21%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#6 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 1 FT
Alaves
Win 37%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%
#7 Superettan · Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
0 : 0 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Club Brugge KV
5 : 5 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Süper Lig · Turkey
Kayserispor
0 : 4 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Legia Warszawa
0 : 0 FT
Jagiellonia
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Lokeren-Temse
3 : 3 FT
AS Eupen
Win 28%
Draw 28%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
2 : 2 FT
Lech Poznan
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Superettan · Sweden
Oddevold
2 : 2 FT
Falkenbergs FF
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 La Liga · Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Superettan · Sweden
Orebro SK
1 : 1 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
3 : 1 FT
Bahia
✓ Win 41%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
2 : 4 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Eredivisie · Netherlands
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 2 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 55%
Draw 20%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#19 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
1 : 2 FT
Kortrijk
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#20 Superettan · Sweden
IK brage
0 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 24 September 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gremio vs Botafogo at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.