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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 27 September 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 27 September 2025. SK Beveren vs Seraing United led the list at 62% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 43%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
2 : 1 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 26%
Win 8%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 68% SK Beveren Clean Sheet 62%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük
3 : 4 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 14%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 67% Trabzonspor Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Santa Clara
1 : 2 FT
Tondela
Win 58%
Draw 28%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 65% Santa Clara Clean Sheet 56%
#4 League Two Β· England
Gillingham
0 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#5 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Forge
4 : 0 FT
Pacific FC
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 20%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#6 Championship Β· England
Charlton
3 : 0 FT
Blackburn
Win 22%
Draw 31%
Win 47%
Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#7 League One Β· England
Wigan
0 : 2 FT
Cardiff
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#8 League Two Β· England
Shrewsbury
1 : 2 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Monza
0 : 1 FT
Padova
Win 44%
Draw 38%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Championship Β· England
Coventry
3 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
2 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 39%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 78% BTTS No 67%
#12 League One Β· England
Northampton
2 : 0 FT
Bolton
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#13 League Two Β· England
Grimsby
7 : 1 FT
Cheltenham
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 57%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Rostov
0 : 0 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#15 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
1 : 1 FT
Panserraikos
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
BTTS No 54%
#16 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
3 : 2 FT
Levadiakos
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#17 Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
0 : 1 FT
Sunderland
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax
2 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#19 League One Β· England
Mansfield Town
2 : 1 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#20 League Two Β· England
Oldham
1 : 1 FT
Barnet
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 27 September 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SK Beveren vs Seraing United at 62% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.