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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 16 May 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 16 May 2025. Rosenborg vs Haugesund led the list at 51% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 29%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 0 FT
Haugesund
✓ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#2 Eliteserien · Norway
Fredrikstad
1 : 0 FT
KFUM Oslo
✓ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
✓ Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#4 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
3 : 2 FT
Cork City
✓ Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 3 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 26%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 47%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#6 Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
OH Leuven
0 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#7 Premier League · England
Chelsea
1 : 0 FT
Manchester United
✓ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Eliteserien · Norway
Brann
2 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 61%
#9 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 31%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
#11 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#12 Premier League · England
Aston Villa
2 : 0 FT
Tottenham
✓ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%
#13 Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
1 : 1 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Gnistan
2 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 58%
#15 Eliteserien · Norway
Tromso
2 : 1 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
1 : 3 FT
KuPS
Win 29%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 46%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Premier Division · Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 0 FT
Shelbourne
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#18 Super League · China
Hangzhou Greentown
2 : 2 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
#19 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Orubah
1 : 2 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 29%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#20 League Two · England
Walsall
2 : 1 FT
Chesterfield
✓ Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 16 May 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rosenborg vs Haugesund at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.