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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Friday 11 April 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 11 April 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Burnley vs Norwich at 60% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Burnley
2 : 1 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 70% Burnley Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow
1 : 2 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 74%
Draw 21%
Win 6%
BTTS No 60% Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 58%
#3 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
RWDM
0 : 1 FT
Lommel United
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior
2 : 0 FT
FC OSS
✓ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 23%
Draw 29%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 0 FT
Waterford
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#7 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV
2 : 4 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#8 Premier League · Ukraine
LNZ Cherkasy
1 : 4 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 28%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 40%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#9 Ligue 2 · France
PAU
2 : 2 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#10 Superettan · Sweden
Oddevold
1 : 3 FT
Kalmar FF
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
0 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 Ligue 1 · France
Lens
0 : 2 FT
Reims
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
0 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 26%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 19%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 57%
#15 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
1 : 3 FT
Drogheda United
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#16 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Ittihad Kalba
1 : 2 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 23%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 51%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
0 : 1 FT
Annecy
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#18 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
1 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians
✓ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#20 League Two · England
Notts County
1 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 11 April 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burnley vs Norwich at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.