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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 28 February 2025

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 28 February 2025. St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers sits top on 47% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 47% down to 35%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
4 : 3 FT
Sligo Rovers
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
#2 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
0 : 1 FT
Martigues
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Vorskla Poltava
1 : 1 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#4 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
4 : 1 FT
Dalian Zhixing
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Estac Troyes
2 : 0 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Orubah
2 : 1 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 13%
Draw 18%
Win 69%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy
Sudtirol
1 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Galway United
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Caen
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
Annecy
2 : 3 FT
Paris FC
Win 33%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 62%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
0 : 0 FT
Polessya
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#13 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Karpaty
1 : 0 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#14 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
2 : 0 FT
Baniyas SC
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 53%
#15 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
SK Beveren
3 : 2 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#16 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RAAL La Louvière
2 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
#17 La Liga Β· Spain
Valladolid
1 : 1 FT
Las Palmas
Win 24%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 2 FT
Waterford
Win 48%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 53%
#19 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
0 : 1 FT
Sharjah FC
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#20 Primera División Β· Chile
Deportes Limache
1 : 2 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 28 February 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by St Patrick's Athl. vs Sligo Rovers at 47% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.