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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 25 October 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 25 October 2024. Pogon Szczecin vs Puszcza Niepołomice led the list at 58% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 35%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 65% Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 0 FT
Nacional
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
1 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#5 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 15%
Draw 24%
Win 61%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
2 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#7 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
1 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 29%
Win 14%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Polessya
1 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#9 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#10 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
0 : 2 FT
Amiens
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#12 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 60%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Santa Clara
2 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#14 Championship Β· England
Portsmouth
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 29%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
8 : 3 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
1 : 3 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 26%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
1 : 0 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Derry City
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#19 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
5 : 3 FT
Ratchaburi
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 25 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pogon Szczecin vs Puszcza Niepołomice at 58% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.