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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 28 October 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Monday 28 October 2024. AVS vs FC Porto led the list at 48% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 28%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the clean sheet market — 27%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
AVS
0 : 5 FT
FC Porto
Win 23%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
1 : 2 FT
FC Krasnodar
Win 12%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 60%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
0 : 1 FT
Corinthians
Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
2 : 1 FT
Vasteras SK FK
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
2 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
2 : 3 FT
Rosenborg
Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 36%
Draw 33%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#8 League One Β· England
Blackpool
2 : 2 FT
Wigan
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 1 FT
Eyüpspor
Win 59%
Draw 20%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Beşiktaş
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
Oddevold
2 : 2 FT
Skövde AIK
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 11 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 28 October 2024?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by AVS vs FC Porto at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.