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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 12 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 12 May 2024. IK brage vs Ostersunds FK led the list at 55% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
2 : 1 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 30%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 68% IK brage Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
1 : 1 FT
Salernitana
Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 61% Juventus Clean Sheet 55%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
0 : 0 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Valencia Clean Sheet 54%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
1 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
KFUM Oslo
1 : 4 FT
Fredrikstad
Win 17%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 58%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%
#6 Superettan Β· Sweden
Helsingborg
2 : 2 FT
Sandviken
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
2 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
7 : 2 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Palmeiras
0 : 2 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
3 : 0 FT
Samsunspor
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 33%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Casa Pia
0 : 1 FT
Moreirense
Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
5 : 0 FT
Trat FC
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
1 : 2 FT
Lille
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 57%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
Ural
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#15 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
2 : 4 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Ham-Kam
2 : 2 FT
Haugesund
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Boavista
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#18 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
EIF
0 : 2 FT
Ilves
Win 26%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
2 : 0 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 0 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 12 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by IK brage vs Ostersunds FK at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.