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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 10 May 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 10 May 2024. Shelbourne vs Drogheda United sits top on 60% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 37%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 56%
Draw 31%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 70% Shelbourne Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Serie B Β· Italy
Reggiana
1 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 14%
Draw 30%
Win 57%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63% Parma Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
3 : 0 FT
Oddevold
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 1 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 48%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 66%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
1 : 2 FT
Grenoble
Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#6 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
2 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
1 : 2 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
3 : 2 FT
Telstar
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
4 : 0 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
1 : 2 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy
Lecco
2 : 3 FT
Modena
Win 25%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
3 : 0 FT
Cittadella
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 34%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#13 Premier League Β· Russia
Krylia Sovetov
0 : 2 FT
Akhmat
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 0 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 31%
βœ“ Draw 35%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
Valenciennes
2 : 1 FT
Quevilly
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
2 : 1 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 35%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 57%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy
Frosinone
0 : 5 FT
Inter
Win 17%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
Win 15%
Draw 23%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
2 : 1 FT
Guingamp
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
1 : 0 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 10 May 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shelbourne vs Drogheda United at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.