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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 11 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 11 February 2024. The strongest reading belongs to FC Volendam vs PSV Eindhoven at 54% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 38%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 35%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
1 : 5 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 4%
Draw 15%
βœ“ Win 81%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS No 56% PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
4 : 0 FT
Lecce
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
5 : 1 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Mallorca
2 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 33%
Draw 39%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 66%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
Win 20%
Draw 32%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
3 : 0 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
3 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
4 : 3 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Sivasspor
1 : 0 FT
Rizespor
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
#10 Championship Β· England
Coventry
2 : 1 FT
Millwall
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
2 : 1 FT
Zlin
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
3 : 3 FT
Granada CF
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
1 : 2 FT
Nantes
Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 58%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nice
2 : 3 FT
Monaco
Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
1 : 2 FT
Lyon
Win 41%
Draw 35%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 56%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
1 : 0 FT
Napoli
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#18 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
4 : 0 FT
Fortuna Sittard
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Lask Linz
2 : 2 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#20 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
2 : 0 FT
Standard Liège II
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 11 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Volendam vs PSV Eindhoven at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.