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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 9 February 2024

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 9 February 2024. Marseille vs Metz sits top on 48% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 48% down to 25%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Marseille
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Deinze
0 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 44%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
4 : 1 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Cadiz
0 : 2 FT
Real Betis
Win 29%
Draw 36%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#5 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 0 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 League Two Β· England
Notts County
1 : 3 FT
Gillingham
Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Muangthong United
1 : 2 FT
Bangkok United
Win 27%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#9 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
1 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#10 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
2 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
3 : 2 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 56%
#12 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
0 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 30%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
BTTS Yes 55%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Como
1 : 0 FT
Brescia
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Francs Borains
2 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 41%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Ruch Chorzów
0 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 31%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Salernitana
1 : 3 FT
Empoli
Win 35%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
#17 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
3 : 4 FT
Hannover 96
Win 54%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 66%
#20 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Wehen
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 33%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 9 February 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Marseille vs Metz at 48% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.