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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 28 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 28 April 2023. Al-Fayha vs Al Khaleej Saihat sits top on 62% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 33%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the clean sheet market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
0 : 3 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 58%
Draw 30%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 71% Al-Fayha Clean Sheet 62%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Raków Częstochowa
4 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Raków Częstochowa Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 15%
Draw 27%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 66% Bohemians Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Gent
3 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Cork City
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
BTTS No 54%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
4 : 0 FT
Dordrecht
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 10%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 77%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 0 FT
Arouca
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
2 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Metal Kharkiv
1 : 3 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%
#10 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
0 : 2 FT
Fakel
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Udinese
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 Serie A Β· Italy
Spezia
0 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 27%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
0 : 2 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 28%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
0 : 2 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#15 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
1 : 1 FT
Al Wehda Club
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
2 : 0 FT
Wisla Plock
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#17 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 3 FT
Jong AZ
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#19 Championship Β· England
Blackpool
2 : 3 FT
Millwall
Win 33%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 5 FT
Almere City FC
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 28 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Fayha vs Al Khaleej Saihat at 62% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.