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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Wednesday 26 April 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 26 April 2023. Celta Vigo vs Elche sits top on 49% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

La Liga supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
1 : 0 FT
Elche
✓ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#2 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
3 : 1 FT
Mallorca
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 57%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano
2 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#4 Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 2 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 15%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Getafe
1 : 2 FT
Almeria
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#6 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gangwon FC
3 : 2 FT
FC Seoul
Win 22%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#7 Super League · China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 21%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#8 Premier League · England
Chelsea
0 : 2 FT
Brentford
Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
2 : 0 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
#10 Super League · Switzerland
Servette FC
4 : 0 FT
FC Zurich
✓ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56%
#11 Super League 1 · Greece
AEK Athens FC
4 : 0 FT
PAOK
✓ Win 38%
Draw 36%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 60%
#12 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 43%
Draw 29%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#13 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
2 : 2 FT
Sigma Olomouc
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 56%
#14 K League 1 · South-Korea
Suwon City FC
1 : 1 FT
Daegu FC
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Super League · China
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 0 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 24%
Draw 29%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
1 : 2 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 34%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 59%
#17 Premier League · England
Nottingham Forest
3 : 1 FT
Brighton
Win 26%
Draw 24%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 0 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 32%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#19 K League 1 · South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
1 : 2 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Super League · China
Dalian Aerbin
0 : 0 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 26 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Celta Vigo vs Elche at 49% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.