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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Monday 1 May 2023

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 1 May 2023. Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers sits top on 56% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 35%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division · Ireland
Derry City
0 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 20%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Shamrock Rovers Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Championship · England
Blackburn
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 24%
Draw 37%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 81% BTTS No 72% Luton Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Cracovia Krakow
1 : 1 FT
Miedz Legnica
Win 65%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 60%
#4 Serie B · Italy
Brescia
2 : 1 FT
Cosenza
✓ Win 39%
Draw 35%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
UCD
0 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 30%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#6 Superettan · Sweden
Trelleborg
3 : 4 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#7 Superettan · Sweden
Utsikten
2 : 1 FT
Orgryte IS
✓ Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
3 : 1 FT
Reggina
✓ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
Drogheda United
1 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 28%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#10 Serie B · Italy
Benevento
2 : 2 FT
Parma
Win 26%
Draw 32%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#11 Serie B · Italy
Bari
1 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#12 Serie B · Italy
Ascoli
2 : 1 FT
Pisa
Win 33%
Draw 35%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 60%
#13 Super League · China
Dalian Aerbin
1 : 1 FT
Meizhou Kejia
Win 41%
Draw 36%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#14 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
0 : 1 FT
Forge
Win 29%
Draw 39%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Premier League · England
Leicester
2 : 2 FT
Everton
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#16 Serie B · Italy
Sudtirol
0 : 0 FT
Genoa
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
0 : 2 FT
Dijon
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#18 La Liga · Spain
Mallorca
1 : 1 FT
Athletic Club
Win 40%
Draw 29%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#19 Allsvenskan · Sweden
IFK Goteborg
1 : 1 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#20 La Liga · Spain
Sevilla
0 : 2 FT
Girona
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 1 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Derry City vs Shamrock Rovers at 56% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.