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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 24 October 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Monday 24 October 2022. Shandong Luneng vs Guangzhou Evergrande FC led the list at 57% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 34%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 57%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kryvbas KR
2 : 1 FT
Inhulets
Win 23%
Draw 34%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 77% BTTS No 70%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
4 : 0 FT
GIF Sundsvall
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 70%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
1 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 66%
#5 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
7 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
0 : 2 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 17%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia
Zenit
7 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Super League Β· China
Shenzhen Ruby FC
2 : 1 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Le Havre
2 : 0 FT
Metz
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
1 : 1 FT
UCD
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Giresunspor
1 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
2 : 1 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 63%
#14 Super League 1 Β· Greece
OFI
0 : 0 FT
Lamia
Win 32%
βœ“ Draw 36%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#15 Super League Β· China
Chengdu Better City
1 : 1 FT
Hangzhou Greentown
Win 26%
Draw 29%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Sassuolo
2 : 1 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 20%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
1 : 0 FT
Portimonense
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#18 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
2 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Zall
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 59%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Zaglebie Lubin
0 : 3 FT
Lechia Gdansk
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 24 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Guangzhou Evergrande FC at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.