Sign in Register
🧤

Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 22 October 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 22 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Lamphun Warrior at 59% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 42%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
0 : 1 FT
Lamphun Warrior
Win 39%
Draw 39%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 85% ✓ BTTS No 77% Nong Bua Pitchaya Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Serie B · Italy
Reggina
2 : 3 FT
Perugia
Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 62% Reggina Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
2 : 2 FT
Quevilly
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64% Sochaux Clean Sheet 54%
#4 League One · England
Morecambe
1 : 0 FT
Barnsley
Win 16%
Draw 24%
Win 60%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
3 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
✓ Win 51%
Draw 33%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#6 League Two · England
Gillingham
1 : 1 FT
Barrow
Win 28%
Draw 34%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#7 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Raków Częstochowa
1 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
✓ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 56%
#8 Serie B · Italy
Frosinone
1 : 0 FT
Bari
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Khon Kaen United
1 : 1 FT
Buriram United
Win 17%
Draw 24%
Win 59%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 56%
#10 League Two · England
Stevenage
2 : 3 FT
Northampton
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#11 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
4 : 1 FT
Monza
✓ Win 67%
Draw 22%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#12 Championship · England
Millwall
2 : 1 FT
West Brom
✓ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#13 Ligue 2 · France
Grenoble
1 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
✓ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#14 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
1 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 55%
#15 League Two · England
Harrogate Town
1 : 1 FT
Tranmere
Win 27%
Draw 31%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#16 Serie A · Italy
Salernitana
1 : 0 FT
Spezia
✓ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
#17 Championship · England
Blackburn
2 : 1 FT
Birmingham
✓ Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 58%
#18 Eliteserien · Norway
Ham-Kam
1 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%
#19 Championship · England
Blackpool
4 : 2 FT
Preston
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#20 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 1 FT
Pacos Ferreira
✓ Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 22 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Lamphun Warrior at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.