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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Tuesday 25 October 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 25 October 2022. Coventry vs Rotherham sits top on 59% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 35%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the clean sheet market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship · England
Coventry
2 : 2 FT
Rotherham
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 74% Coventry Clean Sheet 59%
#2 League Two · England
Leyton Orient
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
✓ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 68% ✓ Leyton Orient Clean Sheet 59%
#3 Super League · China
Shanghai Shenhua
1 : 1 FT
Guangzhou R&F
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 69% Shanghai Shenhua Clean Sheet 57%
#4 League One · England
Plymouth
2 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
✓ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 63%
#5 League One · England
Peterborough
3 : 1 FT
Accrington ST
✓ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 58%
#6 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
4 : 2 FT
Al-Dhafra
✓ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 67%
#7 League Two · England
Tranmere
1 : 1 FT
Rochdale
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#8 League Two · England
Hartlepool
0 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 21%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#9 League Two · England
Walsall
3 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#10 League Two · England
Northampton
2 : 2 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#11 League Two · England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 FT
Crewe
Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#12 League One · England
Wycombe
2 : 3 FT
Cambridge United
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#13 League Two · England
Colchester
2 : 2 FT
Crawley Town
Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 56%
#14 League Two · England
Bradford
1 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 61%
#15 Serie A · Brazil
Fortaleza EC
0 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#16 League One · England
Bolton
2 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
✓ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#17 League Two · England
Stockport County
2 : 0 FT
Carlisle
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 League One · England
Port Vale
2 : 3 FT
Ipswich
Win 22%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 53%
#19 Championship · England
Burnley
1 : 0 FT
Norwich
✓ Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#20 League Two · England
Barrow
1 : 0 FT
Grimsby
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Tuesday 25 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Coventry vs Rotherham at 59% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.