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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 21 October 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Friday 21 October 2022. Ajaccio vs Paris Saint Germain led the list at 62% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 62% down to 27%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier Division supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 3 FT
Paris Saint Germain
Win 5%
Draw 14%
βœ“ Win 82%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Paris Saint Germain Clean Sheet 62%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
3 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City
1 : 1 FT
Shelbourne
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 60%
#4 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
3 : 3 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chiangrai United
1 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 League One Β· England
Ipswich
1 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 29%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
4 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 57%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
0 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Widzew Łódź
1 : 0 FT
Miedz Legnica
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
2 : 2 FT
Finn Harps
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Antalyaspor
2 : 1 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
3 : 0 FT
Roda
Win 28%
Draw 25%
Win 47%
BTTS Yes 54%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hansa Rostock
0 : 2 FT
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
1 : 0 FT
Cobresal
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#16 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge II
2 : 0 FT
Deinze
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 27%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 1 FT
Almere City FC
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
2 : 1 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Cercle Brugge
4 : 1 FT
Charleroi
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 24%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 21 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajaccio vs Paris Saint Germain at 62% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.