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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 4 April 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 4 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Başakşehir vs Yeni Malatyaspor at 50% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 50% down to 25%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the clean sheet market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
1 : 0 FT
Yeni Malatyaspor
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
0 : 2 FT
Derry City
Win 22%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
0 : 0 FT
Bologna
Win 47%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
0 : 2 FT
Ajaccio
Win 32%
Draw 38%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Emirates Club
2 : 4 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 64%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
3 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
1 : 0 FT
Genoa
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden
IK brage
3 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
BTTS Yes 53%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Plock
3 : 2 FT
Gornik Zabrze
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 58%
#12 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
3 : 0 FT
Ajman
Win 30%
Draw 27%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 55%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Finn Harps
2 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
#14 Premier League Β· England
Crystal Palace
3 : 0 FT
Arsenal
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
#15 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
3 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
1 : 3 FT
Osters IF
Win 40%
Draw 26%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#17 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IF Elfsborg
0 : 2 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
BTTS Yes 54%
#18 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
0 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 27%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 50%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#19 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 62%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
4 : 1 FT
FC OSS
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 4 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Başakşehir vs Yeni Malatyaspor at 50% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.