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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Saturday 2 April 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 2 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Burnley vs Manchester City at 60% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 60% down to 46%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the clean sheet market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England
Burnley
0 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 12%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Manchester City Clean Sheet 60%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Arouca
2 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 9%
Draw 26%
Win 65%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 62% GIL Vicente Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Premier League Β· England
Liverpool
2 : 0 FT
Watford
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ Liverpool Clean Sheet 53%
#4 League One Β· England
Ipswich
0 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France
Caen
2 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 60%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Apollon Smirnis
1 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
Win 18%
Draw 29%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#7 Championship Β· England
Coventry
2 : 2 FT
Blackburn
Win 40%
Draw 35%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 71%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Dijon
1 : 0 FT
Grenoble
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 34%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#9 League Two Β· England
Forest Green
1 : 0 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 24%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
2 : 0 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
České Budějovice
2 : 2 FT
Zlin
Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62%
#12 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
2 : 1 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS No 53%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
2 : 2 FT
Admira Wacker
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Ascoli
1 : 0 FT
Pordenone
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 32%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Championship Β· England
Luton
2 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#16 League One Β· England
Milton Keynes Dons
2 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 33%
Draw 37%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#17 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
1 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 28%
Draw 33%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#18 League Two Β· England
Bristol Rovers
2 : 1 FT
Bradford
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 35%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 62%
#19 League Two Β· England
Barrow
1 : 2 FT
Port Vale
Win 20%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 59%
#20 League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
0 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 24%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 2 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burnley vs Manchester City at 60% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.