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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 3 April 2022

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 3 April 2022. Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise sits top on 55% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liege
1 : 3 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 8%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 60% Union St. Gilloise Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
2 : 0 FT
Pacos Ferreira
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 35%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#3 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
0 : 0 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 69%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 1 FT
Lorient
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
BTTS No 57%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Wisla Krakow
2 : 2 FT
Piast Gliwice
Win 22%
Draw 35%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 66%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
5 : 0 FT
AS Eupen
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 0 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Excelsior Virton
2 : 0 FT
Royal Excel Mouscron
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 1 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 56%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 FT
Heerenveen
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 67%
#11 Premier League Β· Russia
CSKA Moscow
2 : 2 FT
Ural
Win 53%
Draw 29%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Luzern
2 : 2 FT
FC Lugano
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#13 Premier League Β· England
West Ham
2 : 1 FT
Everton
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#14 Primera División Β· Chile
O'Higgins
2 : 1 FT
Coquimbo Unido
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Clermont Foot
2 : 3 FT
Nantes
Win 31%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#16 Ligue 1 Β· France
Metz
1 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 28%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 40%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
1 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 33%
Draw 34%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Empoli
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 30%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Maritimo
1 : 3 FT
Tondela
Win 43%
Draw 34%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
0 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 32%
Draw 36%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 3 April 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Standard Liege vs Union St. Gilloise at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.