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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 6 December 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

19 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 6 December 2021. Flamengo vs Santos led the list at 55% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 21%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 42%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
0 : 1 FT
Santos
Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% Flamengo Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
0 : 0 FT
Yeni Malatyaspor
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
1 : 2 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
3 : 1 FT
Juventude
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 33%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Getafe
0 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 35%
Draw 35%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
0 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 15%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
#8 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Warta Poznań
1 : 1 FT
Wisla Krakow
Win 29%
Draw 32%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 64%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
0 : 2 FT
Excelsior
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 58%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
1 : 4 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 17%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
1 : 1 FT
Torino
Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 61%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Niort
2 : 1 FT
Toulouse
Win 25%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
1 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 32%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#14 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
3 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
0 : 0 FT
Palmeiras
Win 25%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 3 FT
De Graafschap
Win 25%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#17 Premier League Β· England
Everton
2 : 1 FT
Arsenal
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 0 FT
Emmen
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 23%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy
Empoli
3 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 29%
Draw 21%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 19 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 6 December 2021?

19 fixtures met the criteria, led by Flamengo vs Santos at 55% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.