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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Sunday 5 December 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 December 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Zorya Luhansk vs Inhulets at 51% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 41%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the clean sheet market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 0 FT
Inhulets
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hannover 96
1 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 19%
Draw 39%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
4 : 3 FT
RB Bragantino
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 55%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
3 : 0 FT
Minai
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 Championship Β· England
QPR
0 : 2 FT
Stoke City
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Gremio
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovácko
1 : 2 FT
Plzen
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 59%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Bohemians 1905
1 : 2 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
3 : 0 FT
Norwich
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain
Levante
0 : 0 FT
Osasuna
Win 24%
Draw 30%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
3 : 2 FT
Union La Calera
Win 19%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 55%
#13 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
2 : 0 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 29%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 Serie B Β· Italy
Alessandria
0 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 31%
Draw 35%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
2 : 3 FT
Fiorentina
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy
Brescia
0 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 42%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#17 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
2 : 0 FT
Mjondalen
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
2 : 0 FT
FC UFA
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#19 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Santa Clara
2 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 23%
Draw 37%
Win 39%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 55%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Wolfsberger AC
3 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 28%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 5 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zorya Luhansk vs Inhulets at 51% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.