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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Friday 3 December 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 3 December 2021. Ajaccio vs Valenciennes led the list at 57% in the Ligue 2. The shortlist runs from 57% down to 34%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the clean sheet market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Ajaccio
0 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
Win 43%
Draw 36%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS No 74% ✓ Ajaccio Clean Sheet 57%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 66%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
BTTS No 55%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Sochaux
2 : 1 FT
PAU
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 67%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
1 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk
6 : 1 FT
Lviv
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
0 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 17%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 50%
Under 2.5 59%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
1 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 41%
Draw 31%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Paris FC
1 : 0 FT
Bastia
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sport Recife
1 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
Win 30%
Draw 32%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
2 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 33%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 59%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
Quevilly
2 : 1 FT
Nancy
Win 30%
Draw 30%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%
#13 Championship Β· England
Fulham
1 : 1 FT
Bournemouth
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France
Amiens
3 : 0 FT
Dunkerque
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#15 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 14%
Draw 18%
Win 68%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 5 FT
NAC Breda
Win 44%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#17 Serie A Β· Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
0 : 1 FT
Atletico Goianiense
Win 32%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 5 FT
Roda
Win 19%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Perugia
1 : 0 FT
Vicenza Virtus
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
St. Truiden
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 13%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Friday 3 December 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajaccio vs Valenciennes at 57% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.