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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Monday 18 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Monday 18 October 2021. Osters IF vs Vasalund led the list at 53% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 28%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the clean sheet market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
3 : 2 FT
Vasalund
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 67%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sport Recife
0 : 0 FT
Santos
Win 38%
Draw 37%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
0 : 1 FT
Real Betis
Win 25%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#4 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
1 : 1 FT
Radomiak Radom
Win 41%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
2 : 1 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nimes
0 : 2 FT
Ajaccio
Win 30%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#7 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
2 : 3 FT
Telstar
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
#10 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
3 : 0 FT
Akropolis
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
2 : 2 FT
Trelleborg
Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
6 : 3 FT
Kayserispor
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 53%
#13 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Stal Mielec
4 : 2 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#15 Serie A Β· Brazil
Flamengo
0 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
1 : 0 FT
Fiorentina
Win 26%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
#17 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Lamia
0 : 1 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
Win 31%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 38%
BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
1 : 0 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#19 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
0 : 3 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
0 : 1 FT
Veres Rivne
Win 30%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 45%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Monday 18 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Osters IF vs Vasalund at 53% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.