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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Sunday 3 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 3 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to HJK Helsinki vs SJK at 54% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 54% down to 42%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the clean sheet market — 25%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki
2 : 3 FT
SJK
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 68% HJK Helsinki Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
2 : 2 FT
FK Jablonec
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 63%
#3 Super League 1 · Greece
Ionikos
1 : 2 FT
Lamia
Win 36%
Draw 43%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 67%
#4 Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus
0 : 0 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 48%
Draw 36%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#5 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 1 FT
Górnik Łęczna
✓ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
BTTS No 57%
#6 Canadian Premier League · Canada
York United
2 : 2 FT
HFX Wanderers FC
Win 42%
Draw 33%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 65%
#7 Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe
2 : 1 FT
Kasımpaşa
✓ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%
#8 Premier League · England
Liverpool
2 : 2 FT
Manchester City
Win 41%
Draw 33%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 66%
#9 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Haka
0 : 0 FT
AC Oulu
Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#10 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
0 : 1 FT
Utrecht
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 61%
#11 Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga
3 : 0 FT
Stromsgodset
✓ Win 54%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lechia Gdansk
3 : 1 FT
Legia Warszawa
✓ Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#13 Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
3 : 1 FT
Lask Linz
✓ Win 55%
Draw 31%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 55%
#14 Super League 1 · Greece
Atromitos
1 : 1 FT
PAS Giannina
Win 24%
Draw 37%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 61%
#15 Serie A · Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
1 : 1 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 21%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
#16 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren
4 : 3 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 24%
Draw 40%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 60%
#17 Premier League · Ukraine
Veres Rivne
0 : 0 FT
Oleksandria
Win 32%
✓ Draw 35%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#18 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Estoril
2 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 31%
✓ Draw 42%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 63%
#19 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
2 : 1 FT
Feyenoord
Win 9%
Draw 14%
Win 78%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#20 Premier League · Russia
Zenit
1 : 2 FT
FC Sochi
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Sunday 3 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by HJK Helsinki vs SJK at 54% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.