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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability — Saturday 2 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet — making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 2 October 2021. Halmstad vs Ostersunds FK led the list at 61% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 61% down to 46%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the clean sheet market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad
1 : 1 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 54%
Draw 33%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 70% Halmstad Clean Sheet 61%
#2 Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS
2 : 1 FT
Ilves
✓ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 66% KuPS Clean Sheet 56%
#3 Super League 1 · Greece
Volos NFC
2 : 1 FT
Asteras Tripolis
✓ Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 75% BTTS No 68% Volos NFC Clean Sheet 55%
#4 Ligue 2 · France
Sochaux
1 : 0 FT
Niort
✓ Win 42%
Draw 39%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 69% ✓ Sochaux Clean Sheet 55%
#5 League Two · England
Exeter City
2 : 2 FT
Walsall
Win 52%
Draw 33%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 64% Exeter City Clean Sheet 54%
#6 Championship · England
Hull City
2 : 0 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 21%
Draw 37%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#7 Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
0 : 1 FT
Quevilly
Win 44%
Draw 37%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#8 Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
0 : 0 FT
Apollon Smirnis
Win 53%
Draw 30%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko
3 : 2 FT
Teplice
✓ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 57%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Paris FC
1 : 1 FT
Nancy
Win 48%
Draw 34%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 61%
#11 League Two · England
Oldham
1 : 2 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 15%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 55%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#12 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Pacos Ferreira
✓ Win 63%
Draw 27%
Win 10%
#13 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 League One · England
AFC Wimbledon
1 : 1 FT
Burton Albion
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#15 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 1 FT
Nieciecza
Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 62%
#16 League Two · England
Northampton
0 : 2 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 43%
Draw 36%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#17 Championship · England
Blackpool
2 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 24%
Draw 36%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#18 Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig
3 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
✓ Win 86%
Draw 11%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 80%
#19 Premier League · England
Burnley
0 : 0 FT
Norwich
Win 44%
Draw 31%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#20 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
0 : 0 FT
Toulouse
Win 14%
Draw 26%
Win 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet — common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Saturday 2 October 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Halmstad vs Ostersunds FK at 61% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.