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Clean Sheet Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest clean sheet probability β€” Wednesday 6 October 2021

Our prediction model calculates the probability that each team concedes zero goals based on their defensive strength and the opponent's attack rating. Fixtures at the top of this list have the highest probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet β€” making them strong candidates for to-nil and correct score markets.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 6 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Sport Recife vs Juventude at 63% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 23%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies five of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the clean sheet market — 54%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sport Recife
3 : 1 FT
Juventude
Win 20%
Draw 44%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 88% BTTS No 79% Juventude Clean Sheet 63%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
2 : 2 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 13%
Draw 31%
Win 56%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 66% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
0 : 2 FT
Atletico Paranaense
Win 37%
Draw 38%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#4 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Incheon United
0 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 43%
Draw 31%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Ceara
0 : 0 FT
Internacional
Win 34%
βœ“ Draw 37%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
3 : 1 FT
Bahia
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
2 : 1 FT
Pattaya United
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
HFX Wanderers FC
0 : 1 FT
Forge
Win 32%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
0 : 1 FT
D. La Serena
Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 24%
#10 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
2 : 1 FT
Prachuap
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
0 : 0 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Khon Kaen United
1 : 1 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
Win 22%
Draw 29%
Win 50%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
BG Pathum United
0 : 2 FT
Chiangrai United
Win 38%
Draw 30%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 13 fixtures by clean sheet probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Clean Sheet β€” common questions

What does the Clean Sheet market mean?

Clean Sheet settles on whether a match sees at least one team keep a clean sheet. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate clean sheet probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The clean-sheet probability shown here is the probability that a given side concedes zero, from the opponent's expected-goals figure. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Clean Sheet on Wednesday 6 October 2021?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sport Recife vs Juventude at 63% clean-sheet probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with the highest clean-sheet probabilities of the day, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these clean sheet predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.