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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 27 October 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 27 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to VfL Bochum vs Bayern München at 71% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 43%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the away win market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Bochum
0 : 5 FT
Bayern München
Win 14%
Draw 16%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 85% BTTS Yes 75%
#2 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 1 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 22%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 56%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1 : 2 FT
Viking
Win 24%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
0 : 0 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 53%
#5 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
0 : 1 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 19%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#6 Premier League Β· Russia
Khimki
3 : 4 FT
Dynamo
Win 19%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 58%
#7 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 21%
Draw 30%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 2 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy
Frosinone
0 : 0 FT
Pisa
Win 21%
Draw 31%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#10 Super League Β· China
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 3 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 28%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
0 : 3 FT
Molde
Win 22%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
0 : 2 FT
Feyenoord
Win 31%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 47%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 70%
#13 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
1 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy
Parma
1 : 1 FT
Empoli
Win 27%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
0 : 3 FT
Toulouse
Win 25%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estrela
2 : 2 FT
Vitória SC
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Under 2.5 57%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 2 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 24%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Livyi Bereh
0 : 2 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 23%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#19 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Kallithea
0 : 3 FT
Atromitos
Win 27%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 55%
#20 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
3 : 4 FT
Al Nasr
Win 36%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 27 October 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by VfL Bochum vs Bayern München at 71% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.