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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 25 October 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 18 fixtures on Friday 25 October 2024. Al Kholood vs Al-Nassr sits top on 71% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 39%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Kholood
3 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 13%
Draw 16%
Win 71%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Almere City FC
1 : 0 FT
NEC Nijmegen
Win 15%
Draw 24%
Win 61%
#3 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 0 FT
Patro Eisden
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 60%
#4 Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
2 : 4 FT
Sivasspor
Win 26%
Draw 24%
✓ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS
2 : 1 FT
Jong AZ
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Vitesse
1 : 3 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 29%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 31%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
VVV Venlo
1 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 29%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Premier League · England
Leicester
1 : 3 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 26%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#11 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Wahda FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
Win 34%
Draw 25%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
KRC Genk II
0 : 4 FT
Lommel United
Win 35%
Draw 25%
✓ Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam
4 : 1 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#14 Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
2 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#16 Championship · England
Portsmouth
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 29%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#17 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
3 : 3 FT
Lorient
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%
#18 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Roda
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
✓ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 18 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 25 October 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Kholood vs Al-Nassr at 71% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.