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Under 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest under 2.5 probability — Sunday 13 November 2022

Thu 10 Fri 11 Sat 12 Sun 13 Mon 14 Tue 15 Wed 16

Under 2.5 goals lands when a match produces 2 goals or fewer. Our prediction model sums the probability of every scoreline with 2 goals or fewer — 0–0, 1–0, 1–1, 2–0 and their mirror images. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 13 November 2022. Casa Pia vs Chaves sits top on 76% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 58%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the under 2.5 goals market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal 76%

Under 2.5 76% BTTS No 69%

Serie A · Brazil 72%

✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 64%

Serie A · Brazil 68%

Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 61%

Serie A · Brazil 67%

Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 64%

Ekstraklasa · Poland 65%

Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%

Super League 1 · Greece 63%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 53%

Serie A · Italy 63%

Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Thai League 1 · Thailand 63%

✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Eredivisie · Netherlands 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%

#10

Super League 1 · Greece 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#11

Serie A · Italy 62%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%

#12

Serie A · Brazil 62%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 62%

#13

Super League 1 · Greece 60%

#14

Premier League · Ukraine 60%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

#15

Eliteserien · Norway 60%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 55%

#16

2. Bundesliga · Germany 59%

#17

Serie A · Brazil 59%

✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%

#18

Superettan · Sweden 58%

#19

Serie A · Brazil 58%

#20

Championship · England 58%

Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by under 2.5 probability (a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Low Scoring Both Teams to Score – No Over 2.5 Goals

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Under 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Under 2.5 Goals market mean?

Under 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with 2 or fewer total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate under 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The under 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of 2 or fewer total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Under 2.5 Goals on Sunday 13 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Casa Pia vs Chaves at 76% under 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher under 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these under 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.