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UK Football Predictions

English league and cup matches only β€” Saturday 14 February 2026

Kick-off times in UK time (GMT/BST)

Free UK football predictions for 14 February 2026, showing only matches from Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup that our Poisson prediction model covers. Each fixture carries over 2.5 goals, both teams to score and match result probabilities.

UK football had 23 fixtures on Saturday 14 February 2026 across three competitions, led by Championship, League One and League Two.

The model's standout reads were Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon for over 2.5 goals at 66%, Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon for both teams to score at 65%, and Milton Keynes Dons as the strongest favourite at 71% (Milton Keynes Dons vs Newport County). These are probabilities from the Poisson model, not certainties.

Of the three standout picks that have since finished, three landed. That is a very small sample; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship logo

Championship predictions

5 matches Β· England Championship hub →
Derby
2 : 0 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
Portsmouth
0 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
Preston
2 : 2 FT
Watford
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
QPR
1 : 3 FT
Blackburn
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 2 FT
Millwall
Win 15%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 61%
League One logo

League One predictions

8 matches Β· England League One hub →
Reading
3 : 2 FT
Wycombe
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 58%
Stevenage
1 : 0 FT
Huddersfield
βœ“ Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
Barnsley
3 : 3 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
Blackpool
0 : 4 FT
Plymouth
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 57%
Bradford
2 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
Cardiff
3 : 1 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
Exeter City
0 : 0 FT
Northampton
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Lincoln
1 : 1 FT
Bolton
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
League Two logo

League Two predictions

10 matches Β· England League Two hub →
Barnet
0 : 0 FT
Cheltenham
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
Barrow
1 : 0 FT
Colchester
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
Bromley
1 : 1 FT
Notts County
Win 43%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
Cambridge United
3 : 1 FT
Bristol Rovers
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
Chesterfield
1 : 1 FT
Harrogate Town
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 58%
Crewe
1 : 0 FT
Gillingham
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
BTTS Yes 55%
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 0 FT
Newport County
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 63%
Oldham
1 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
Win 33%
Draw 30%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
Shrewsbury
3 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
Tranmere
2 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing all 23 UK fixtures, grouped by competition. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

UK Football β€” common questions

Which UK leagues do you cover?

Fixture360 covers a curated set of leagues rather than every division. Competitions we cover in the UK include Premier League, Championship, FA Cup and Carabao Cup; other UK competitions appear automatically whenever the data feed supplies fixtures for them. On Saturday 14 February 2026 the page lists Championship, League One and League Two.

How many UK matches were predicted on Saturday 14 February 2026?

23 UK fixtures across three competitions. The highest over 2.5 probability is Barnsley vs AFC Wimbledon at 66%.

How are UK football predictions calculated?

A Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from its attack and defence strengths in recent results, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. Over 2.5, both teams to score and match result probabilities are summed from those scorelines. No bookmaker odds are used as an input.

Are kick-off times shown in UK time?

Yes. Kick-off times on this page's fixture cards are shown in UK time (GMT/BST, the Europe/London time zone) and adjust automatically for summer time. They are not converted to your own location, so check the time against the official club or league listing before relying on it. The date selector uses UTC days.

Where can I find UK over 2.5 and BTTS predictions?

The Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS Yes market pages rank fixtures across every league we cover, including Premier League and Championship. The "UK Football picks of the day" card on this page links to the top UK fixture for each market.

Are these betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.