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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Sunday 9 August 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Zulte Waregem
: 15:00
Genk
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PEC Zwolle
: 13:30
Ajax
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
: 11:15
Feyenoord
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 61%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.