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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Monday 10 August 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden
Norrby IF
: 18:00
Orebro SK
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
: 19:00
FC Eindhoven
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong PSV U21
: 19:00
FC Volendam
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 3 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.