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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 7 August 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
: 17:00
Gnistan
Win 34%
Draw 32%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 60%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
: 19:45
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 58%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
: 19:00
Roda
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
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Showing top 16 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.