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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Saturday 11 July 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 2 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 35%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 54%
#2 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
: PST
Henan Jianye
Win 37%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
#3 Super League Β· China
Shanghai Shenhua
: PST
Beijing Guoan
Win 39%
Draw 22%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
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Showing top 15 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.