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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 10 July 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
1 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Dundalk
1 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
VPS
1 : 0 FT
SJK
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 3 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.