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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Saturday 23 May 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
1 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
SJK
0 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
Win 35%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 36%
BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
2 : 0 FT
Gnistan
Win 33%
Draw 33%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.