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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 24 April 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 2 Β· France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Alverca
2 : 1 FT
Arouca
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 53%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
1 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.