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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Thursday 23 April 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
3 : 0 FT
Liège
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 2 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 53%
#3 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
0 : 2 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 36%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 39%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.