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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Saturday 7 March 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England
Barnsley
2 : 1 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 23%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 League Two Β· England
Newport County
1 : 2 FT
Colchester
Win 35%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 58%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Piast Gliwice
1 : 3 FT
Zaglebie Lubin
Win 32%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 35%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.