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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Thursday 5 March 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Thun
2 : 2 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Tottenham
1 : 3 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 30%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Damac
3 : 0 FT
Al Riyadh
βœ“ Win 43%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
Under 2.5 59%
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Showing top 4 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.