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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 13 November 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 13 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Kristiansund BK vs jerv at 92% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 84%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Kristiansund BK
1 : 1 FT
jerv
Win 66%
Draw 16%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Benfica
3 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
2 : 4 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 26%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
0 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 36%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 41%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 74%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Orenburg
5 : 1 FT
FC Krasnodar
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lille
1 : 0 FT
Angers
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 3 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 1 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 66%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
3 : 1 FT
1. FC Magdeburg
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 22%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#10 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
1 : 5 FT
SK Beveren
Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
5 : 0 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%
#12 Super League Β· China
Wuhan Three Towns
1 : 3 FT
Henan Jianye
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#13 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Valerenga
1 : 2 FT
Molde
Win 25%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
2 : 1 FT
Estac Troyes
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#15 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2 FT
Pogon Szczecin
Win 33%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#16 Premier League Β· England
Fulham
1 : 2 FT
Manchester United
Win 44%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#17 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
2 : 3 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 42%
Draw 23%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Super League Β· China
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Zall
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#19 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
İstanbulspor
0 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
Win 40%
Draw 24%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 65%
#20 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
5 : 1 FT
Excelsior
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 13 November 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Kristiansund BK vs jerv at 92% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.